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Red179
592410.8
448163.9
58161.1
Blue62
397017.0
207320.1
318928.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1507105010020017962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+89Teleop
+111Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +75
19Coral scored#8
69Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
119Total teleop44
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#3
8L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#14
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +117
6Foul points0
179Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.90.8
61.762.5
Auto13.6
Teleop45.0
End5.2
red by 35.4
3189
#11
28.50.4
30.129.7
Auto6.2
Teleop19.8
End2.6
Second
581
#2
61.10.8
58.959.7
Auto11.9
Teleop39.6
End9.6
red by 41.0
2073
#22
20.10.4
21.621.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Third
5924
#26
10.80.8
8.79.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.6
End2.7
blue by 6.2
3970
#33
17.00.4
17.417.0
Auto3.4
Teleop12.6
End1.0