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Red126
696219.7
947034.5
304542.9
Blue100
203520.9
247337.6
167138.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107107100105110115120126100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#16
61Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
85Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +26
14Foul points6
126Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.2
42.242.4
Auto11.9
Teleop28.1
End2.9
red by 4.4
1671
#10
38.50.2
38.338.1
Auto6.6
Teleop25.3
End6.6
Second
9470
#15
34.50.2
33.834.0
Auto11.8
Teleop22.5
End0.3
blue by 3.1
37.60.2
37.337.2
Auto4.5
Teleop25.3
End7.8
Third
6962
#32
19.70.2
18.919.2
Auto2.4
Teleop17.1
End0.2
blue by 1.2
2035
#23
20.90.2
20.620.5
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7