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Red128
11520.2
510426.9
804832.0
Blue76
97229.5
145821.0
958427.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82825060709010011012012876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+52Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
4Coral scored#4
22Coral points22
22Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +32
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
72Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +52
20Foul points0
128Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#29
32.00.7
31.632.3
Auto3.8
Teleop28.6
End-0.5
red by 2.5
972
#16
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.8
End9.8
Second
5104
#12
26.90.7
26.527.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.3
End7.4
blue by 0.2
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.0
End7.6
Third
115
#31
20.20.7
19.820.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.8
End3.6
blue by 0.8
1458
#13
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.1
End2.0