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Red180
441559.4
887120.1
699550.5
Blue156
940854.1
300924.0
519958.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136146100120160180200180156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
8Coral scored#8
41Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
22Coral scored#14
78Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
104Total teleop80
Reef
13L4#6
7L3#7
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points6
180Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.3
58.159.4
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
red by 0.9
58.40.4
58.158.4
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
50.51.3
49.250.5
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
blue by 3.7
9408
#12
54.10.4
53.854.1
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Third
8871
#44
20.11.3
18.820.1
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
blue by 3.9
3009
#30
24.00.4
23.624.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9