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Red146
441559.4
887120.1
699550.5
Blue136
940854.1
300924.0
519958.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135147100120160180200146136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave0
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points30
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
76Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
146Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.6
57.558.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
red by 0.9
58.40.0
58.058.1
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
50.50.6
48.649.2
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
blue by 3.7
9408
#12
54.10.0
53.753.8
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Third
8871
#44
20.10.6
18.218.8
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
blue by 3.9
3009
#30
24.00.0
23.623.6
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9