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Qual 12025 Orange County Regional
Red145
723038.9
441559.4
350120.4
Blue110
842.4
940854.1
407932.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85102050150200250145110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
6Processor points18
20Net points20
26Algae points38
78Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
14Foul points2
145Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#2
59.45.5
33.6→39.0
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
red by 5.2
9408
#12
54.11.7
36.1→37.8
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Second
7230
#8
38.95.5
16.1→21.6
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
blue by 3.5
8
#28
42.41.7
28.0→29.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Third
3501
#34
20.45.5
26.1→31.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 12.2
4079
#21
32.61.7
23.6→25.3
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned