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Red47
330922.8
166124.0
744711.1
Blue36
528517.4
741519.5
498416.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747602040601001201401604736

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
3Coral scored#2
12Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
16Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points18
47Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#23
24.02.6
19.516.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 4.5
7415
#46
19.55.4
24.118.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
Second
3309
#25
22.82.6
26.423.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 5.4
5285
#42
17.45.4
22.817.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
7447
#35
11.12.6
18.816.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 5.5
4984
#39
16.65.4
19.514.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed