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Red56
86711.0
414134.6
669511.8
Blue61
84028.3
690411.2
580524.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696860657075805661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points25
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
32Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points24
56Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#11
34.62.5
24.321.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
red by 6.3
840
#27
28.32.5
26.123.5
Auto4.1
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
6695
#37
11.82.5
18.516.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 13.1
5805
#15
24.92.5
17.114.6
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Third
867
#45
11.02.5
17.314.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 0.1
6904
#43
11.22.5
16.614.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed