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Red100
395226.0
550022.1
153847.3
Blue73
244337.2
887120.1
927121.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8284406010012010073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+39Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points40
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
77Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
100Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#10
47.31.5
34.936.5
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
red by 10.0
37.21.6
31.830.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
Second
3952
#18
26.01.5
21.222.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End4.3
red by 4.3
9271
#33
21.71.6
22.921.3
Auto2.1
Teleop14.1
End5.5
Third
5500
#19
22.11.5
15.717.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
red by 2.0
8871
#44
20.11.6
18.917.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned