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Red92
583519.3
350120.4
699550.5
Blue98
330922.8
723038.9
580524.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97640501509298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
41Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +18
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
41Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#6
6L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points0
92Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.4
31.331.7
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
red by 11.6
38.94.2
21.625.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Second
3501
#34
20.40.4
31.531.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
blue by 4.5
5805
#15
24.94.2
14.618.8
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Third
5835
#13
19.30.4
19.620.0
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 3.5
3309
#25
22.84.2
23.828.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned