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Red90
153847.3
690411.2
414134.6
Blue91
550022.1
528517.4
441559.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868540601001201409091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +14
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
65Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points6
90Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#10
47.31.0
36.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
blue by 12.1
59.40.4
39.039.4
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
Second
4141
#11
34.61.0
21.822.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
red by 12.5
5500
#19
22.10.4
17.317.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Third
6904
#43
11.21.0
14.015.0
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
blue by 6.2
5285
#42
17.40.4
17.417.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed