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Red63
385912.5
940854.1
285318.4
Blue41
461914.3
56693.3
97347.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91790501001506341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave9
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
17Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +12
6Coral scored#4
22Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
32Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
63Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
54.11.7
37.836.0
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
red by 7.0
973
#7
47.13.3
36.032.7
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
Second
2853
#31
18.41.7
20.919.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 4.1
4619
#40
14.33.3
18.715.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.1
Third
3859
#26
12.51.7
19.918.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
red by 9.3
5669
#47
3.33.3
16.012.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed