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Red47
741519.5
385912.5
461914.3
Blue99
715739.7
248630.2
927121.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5510201504799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+20
Endgame+40
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#10
25Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
35Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points12
47Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7415
#46
19.50.6
18.718.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
blue by 20.3
39.70.4
36.136.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.2
End4.6
Second
4619
#40
14.30.6
15.414.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.1
blue by 15.8
2486
#20
30.20.4
26.026.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Third
3859
#26
12.50.6
18.217.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 9.1
9271
#33
21.70.4
21.321.7
Auto2.1
Teleop14.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned