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Red92
803360.0
1033315.8
285318.4
Blue78
347333.0
347637.4
498416.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898140601001209278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto10
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#11
34Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
62Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
92Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.7
41.843.5
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 22.6
3476
#14
37.40.7
35.736.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Second
2853
#31
18.41.7
19.220.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 14.7
3473
#38
33.00.7
21.922.6
Auto3.7
Teleop26.6
End2.7
Third
15.81.7
16.017.7
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 0.9
4984
#39
16.60.7
14.114.8
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed