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Red53
427627.4
461914.3
583519.3
Blue83
86711.0
347637.4
271029.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6282020401001201401605383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
15Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +24
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
30Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
4Foul points2
53Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#29
27.40.8
22.922.1
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 9.9
3476
#14
37.41.1
36.437.5
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Second
5835
#13
19.30.8
18.217.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 9.8
2710
#16
29.11.1
20.621.7
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Third
4619
#40
14.30.8
15.014.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.1
red by 3.3
867
#45
11.01.1
14.215.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned