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Red63
285318.4
715739.7
499921.8
Blue39
350120.4
528517.4
300924.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88820501001502002506339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
51Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
63Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.6
38.837.3
Auto6.9
Teleop28.2
End4.6
red by 15.8
3009
#30
24.03.7
19.415.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Second
4999
#22
21.81.6
15.914.3
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End4.9
red by 1.3
3501
#34
20.43.7
28.124.5
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
Third
2853
#31
18.41.6
19.718.2
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
5285
#42
17.43.7
21.517.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed