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Red59
441559.4
887120.1
56693.3
Blue85
385912.5
744711.1
519958.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80950501505985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+6
Endgame+20
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points6
59Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.41.2
42.641.3
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
red by 0.9
58.40.4
46.846.3
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
8871
#44
20.11.2
18.517.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
red by 7.5
3859
#26
12.50.4
20.720.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Third
5669
#47
3.31.2
9.27.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.7
End-0.5
blue by 7.8
7447
#35
11.10.4
15.515.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsEarned