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Red101
498416.6
842.4
244337.2
Blue58
86711.0
302031.2
248630.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8671020406010012014016010158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
63Total teleop38
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
2Foul points0
101Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#28
42.42.4
28.831.2
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
red by 11.2
3020
#17
31.21.7
19.317.6
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8
Second
37.22.4
31.433.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
red by 7.1
2486
#20
30.21.7
26.524.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Third
4984
#39
16.62.4
10.813.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
red by 5.6
867
#45
11.01.7
15.313.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned