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Red45
690411.2
347637.4
395226.0
Blue139
407932.6
723038.9
699550.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7995406012014045139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+74
Endgame+76
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave9
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points28
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +50
4Coral scored#17
16Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
30Total teleop80
Reef
1L4#10
2L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points18
45Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#14
37.43.1
37.534.3
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
blue by 13.1
50.54.1
34.838.9
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
Second
3952
#18
26.03.1
24.921.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End4.3
blue by 12.9
38.94.1
24.728.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Third
6904
#43
11.23.1
10.97.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
blue by 21.5
4079
#21
32.64.1
24.428.5
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed