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Red50
414134.6
385912.5
580524.9
Blue79
499921.8
519958.4
1033315.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79962040601201401605079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points37
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
22Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
50Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#11
34.62.8
26.023.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
blue by 23.8
58.40.5
46.345.9
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
5805
#15
24.92.8
25.923.1
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
red by 3.2
4999
#22
21.80.5
14.313.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End4.9
Third
3859
#26
12.52.8
20.317.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 3.2
15.80.5
20.019.5
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned