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Red149
473855.7
741519.5
441559.4
Blue36
285318.4
84028.3
852118.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166505010015020014936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+105Teleop
+115Endgame
+113Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
16Coral scored#5
56Coral points17
3Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
18Processor points0
24Net points4
42Algae points4
98Total teleop21
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#1
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +113
0Foul points2
149Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.45.5
41.346.8
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
red by 31.1
840
#27
28.33.1
20.217.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
55.75.5
43.248.8
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 37.3
2853
#31
18.43.1
18.215.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Third
7415
#46
19.55.5
14.620.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
red by 1.2
8521
#32
18.33.1
23.420.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed