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Red69
1033315.8
86711.0
940854.1
Blue43
528517.4
704220.0
887120.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8663020401001201406943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
56Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
69Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
54.10.5
40.640.1
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
red by 34.1
8871
#44
20.11.6
17.315.7
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
Second
15.80.5
19.519.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 4.2
7042
#41
20.01.6
22.120.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Third
867
#45
11.00.5
13.613.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 6.3
5285
#42
17.41.6
17.816.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned