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Red133
329522.4
302031.2
723038.9
Blue110
473855.7
461914.3
690411.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6280050100150133110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#14
62Coral points50
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
92Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points6
133Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.95.5
29.034.5
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
blue by 16.8
55.71.9
48.850.7
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
Second
3020
#17
31.25.5
15.621.2
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8
red by 16.8
4619
#40
14.31.9
12.314.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.1
Third
3295
#36
22.45.5
11.617.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End3.2
red by 11.2
6904
#43
11.21.9
7.99.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned