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Red82
350120.4
744711.1
244337.2
Blue53
852118.3
385912.5
347637.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77872040601001201408253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +24
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop29
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
82Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.21.4
34.635.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
blue by 0.2
3476
#14
37.42.3
36.233.8
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Second
3501
#34
20.41.4
22.523.9
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 2.1
8521
#32
18.32.3
20.318.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Third
7447
#35
11.11.4
12.513.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 1.4
3859
#26
12.52.3
17.515.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed