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Red81
300924.0
248630.2
704220.0
Blue112
940854.1
414134.6
330922.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410220406012014016081112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+41
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +28
12Coral scored#16
43Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
51Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
81Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#20
30.20.1
26.326.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
blue by 24.0
9408
#12
54.11.5
40.141.6
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Second
3009
#30
24.00.1
18.118.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
blue by 10.6
4141
#11
34.61.5
23.925.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Third
7042
#41
20.00.1
20.520.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 2.8
3309
#25
22.81.5
19.420.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed