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Red53
84028.3
407932.6
528517.4
Blue33
498416.6
550022.1
56693.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71330204060801001205333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+14Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
7Coral scored#5
24Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
32Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
53Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4079
#21
32.60.9
27.526.6
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
red by 10.6
5500
#19
22.10.9
14.914.0
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Second
840
#27
28.30.9
17.116.2
Auto4.1
Teleop20.6
End3.5
red by 11.7
4984
#39
16.60.9
14.713.8
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Third
5285
#42
17.40.9
16.215.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 14.1
5669
#47
3.30.9
5.34.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed