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Red67
427627.4
669511.8
1033315.8
Blue168
715739.7
395226.0
441559.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53123010015020067168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+73
Endgame+93
Fouls+101
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave3
1Coral scored#8
4Coral points41
13Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +42
11Coral scored#18
40Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
50Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#7
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +101
0Foul points8
67Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#29
27.40.0
22.822.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 31.9
59.44.8
46.851.7
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
Second
15.80.0
19.019.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
blue by 24.0
39.74.8
37.942.7
Auto6.9
Teleop28.2
End4.6
Third
6695
#37
11.80.0
14.114.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 14.1
3952
#18
26.04.8
20.725.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned