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Red118
842.4
347333.0
86711.0
Blue130
803360.0
166124.0
887120.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions791064060120140160118130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
87Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#8
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points12
118Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#28
42.44.2
33.637.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
blue by 17.6
60.02.9
52.155.0
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Second
3473
#38
33.04.2
27.431.6
Auto3.7
Teleop26.6
End2.7
red by 9.1
1661
#23
24.02.9
24.227.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Third
867
#45
11.04.2
13.117.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 9.0
8871
#44
20.12.9
15.718.6
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned