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Red127
347637.4
723038.9
244337.2
Blue99
741519.5
329522.4
519958.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179340608014016018012799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
72Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
18Foul points0
127Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.5
34.535.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
blue by 19.5
58.41.5
49.651.1
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
Second
3476
#14
37.40.5
33.834.4
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
red by 15.0
3295
#36
22.41.5
17.118.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End3.2
Third
37.20.5
35.936.5
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
red by 17.8
7415
#46
19.51.5
19.120.6
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned