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Red161
302031.2
84028.3
940854.1
Blue83
395226.0
580524.9
744711.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10677406012014016018016183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+64Teleop
+76Endgame
+78Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
24Coral scored#13
86Coral points46
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
24Processor points12
24Net points12
48Algae points24
134Total teleop70
Reef
12L4#6
6L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
2Foul points0
161Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
54.15.5
41.046.4
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
red by 28.2
3952
#18
26.00.3
27.026.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End4.3
Second
3020
#17
31.25.5
21.827.3
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8
red by 6.2
5805
#15
24.90.3
26.225.9
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Third
840
#27
28.35.5
22.628.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.6
End3.5
red by 17.2
7447
#35
11.10.3
14.314.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed