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Red109
519958.4
285318.4
330922.8
Blue106
153847.3
669511.8
329522.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102926080120140160109106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points26
26Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +9
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
67Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#4
7L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
109Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.42.1
51.153.2
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
red by 11.1
1538
#10
47.32.7
46.248.9
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
Second
3309
#25
22.82.1
20.022.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
red by 0.5
3295
#36
22.42.7
18.621.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End3.2
Third
2853
#31
18.42.1
18.020.1
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
red by 6.6
6695
#37
11.82.7
15.618.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed