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Red65
499921.8
498416.6
166124.0
Blue125
583519.3
441559.4
244337.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions591335010015020065125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave6
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +20
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
50Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#6
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
2Foul points14
65Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1661
#23
24.00.9
27.026.1
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End2.9
blue by 35.4
59.41.2
51.550.3
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
Second
4999
#22
21.80.9
16.215.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End4.9
blue by 15.5
37.21.2
36.535.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
Third
4984
#39
16.60.9
16.015.1
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
blue by 2.7
5835
#13
19.31.2
23.021.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned