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Red31
704220.0
1033315.8
350120.4
Blue18
741519.5
86711.0
690411.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635302040801003118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+11Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points7
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
18Total teleop7
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
31Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3501
#34
20.42.8
20.517.7
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 1.0
7415
#46
19.53.3
20.617.3
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
Second
7042
#41
20.02.8
19.716.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 8.8
6904
#43
11.23.3
12.08.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
Third
15.82.8
18.115.2
Auto2.2
Teleop12.5
End1.0
red by 4.7
867
#45
11.03.3
17.213.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed