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Red125
715739.7
271029.1
723038.9
Blue146
550022.1
803360.0
407932.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10710690100110120130140125146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
23Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +2
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
82Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#11
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points6
125Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.72.0
39.441.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.2
End4.6
blue by 20.2
60.04.6
55.059.5
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Second
38.92.0
35.037.0
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
red by 6.3
4079
#21
32.64.6
27.131.7
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
Third
2710
#16
29.12.0
25.327.3
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
red by 7.0
5500
#19
22.14.6
13.918.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned