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Red87
887120.1
852118.3
461914.3
Blue108
427627.4
300924.0
414134.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions619320408012014016087108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+27
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
66Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points0
87Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8871
#44
20.11.1
15.216.3
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
blue by 14.5
4141
#11
34.61.1
31.832.9
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
Second
8521
#32
18.31.1
17.118.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 9.2
4276
#29
27.41.1
22.723.8
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Third
4619
#40
14.31.1
14.115.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.1
blue by 9.7
3009
#30
24.01.1
16.617.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned