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Red40
248630.2
56693.3
669511.8
Blue115
699550.5
347333.0
153847.3
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5715610020040115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+87
Endgame+75
Fouls+75
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +67
4Coral scored#16
16Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
20Total teleop87
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +75
0Foul points0
40Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#20
30.21.6
32.631.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
blue by 20.3
50.51.1
46.145.0
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
Second
6695
#37
11.81.5
18.316.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 35.4
1538
#10
47.31.0
48.947.9
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
Third
5669
#47
3.31.6
5.03.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.7
End-0.5
blue by 29.8
3473
#38
33.01.1
30.329.2
Auto3.7
Teleop26.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed