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Red93
329522.4
580524.9
347637.4
Blue55
583519.3
528517.4
385912.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9253204060801001201401609355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+44Teleop
+56Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop11
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points24
93Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#14
37.40.1
35.936.1
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
red by 18.1
5835
#13
19.32.6
21.819.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Second
5805
#15
24.90.1
25.926.1
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
red by 7.5
5285
#42
17.42.6
17.314.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Third
3295
#36
22.40.1
21.221.4
Auto4.8
Teleop14.4
End3.2
red by 9.8
3859
#26
12.52.6
16.013.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed