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Red86
842.4
285318.4
704220.0
Blue117
407932.6
244337.2
427627.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81104406012014016086117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
2Coral scored#7
11Coral points34
20Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#18
44Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
62Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#10
6L3#6
1L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
86Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#28
42.40.9
39.340.3
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
red by 5.2
37.22.5
35.237.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
Second
7042
#41
20.00.9
16.917.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
blue by 12.6
4079
#21
32.62.5
31.734.2
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End1.9
Third
2853
#31
18.40.9
20.121.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
blue by 9.0
4276
#29
27.42.5
23.826.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed