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Red113
414134.6
271029.1
302031.2
Blue67
166124.0
741519.5
56693.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11451010015020011367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#9
58Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
72Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
113Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#11
34.60.7
32.933.6
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End5.4
red by 10.6
1661
#23
24.00.4
26.126.6
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
3020
#17
31.20.7
27.328.0
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8
red by 11.7
7415
#46
19.50.4
17.317.7
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
Third
2710
#16
29.10.7
27.328.0
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
red by 25.8
5669
#47
3.30.4
3.33.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop4.7
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed