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Red101
887120.1
97347.1
550022.1
Blue113
852118.3
248630.2
699550.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87113406080100120140160101113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points17
23Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
52Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points24
101Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
47.11.1
42.944.0
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
blue by 3.3
50.50.5
45.044.5
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
Second
5500
#19
22.11.1
18.519.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End2.7
blue by 8.1
2486
#20
30.20.5
31.030.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Third
8871
#44
20.11.1
16.317.4
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
red by 1.8
8521
#32
18.30.5
18.217.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned