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Red72
395226.0
86711.0
927121.7
Blue135
300924.0
330922.8
441559.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79116406010014016072135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
47Total teleop81
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points10
72Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3952
#18
26.00.2
26.826.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.7
End4.3
blue by 33.4
59.42.2
50.352.5
Auto17.0
Teleop33.9
End8.5
Second
9271
#33
21.70.2
23.523.2
Auto2.1
Teleop14.1
End5.5
blue by 2.3
3009
#30
24.02.2
17.719.9
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
Third
867
#45
11.00.2
13.913.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 11.8
3309
#25
22.82.2
22.124.3
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned