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Red64
690411.2
715739.7
385912.5
Blue78
583519.3
744711.1
473855.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6996204060801201406478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+22
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
38Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
64Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.8
41.841.0
Auto6.9
Teleop28.2
End4.6
blue by 15.9
55.70.8
55.955.1
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
Second
3859
#26
12.50.8
13.412.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.2
End1.5
blue by 6.8
5835
#13
19.30.8
19.218.4
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
Third
6904
#43
11.20.8
12.011.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.9
red by 0.1
7447
#35
11.10.8
11.911.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsMissed