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Red47
669511.8
330922.8
887120.1
Blue141
347637.4
499921.8
97347.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611175010015047141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+68
Endgame+88
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
6Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +41
7Coral scored#16
25Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
35Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points6
47Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#25
22.81.5
24.322.8
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End2.1
blue by 24.3
973
#7
47.12.7
44.046.7
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
Second
8871
#44
20.11.5
17.415.9
Auto2.0
Teleop14.3
End3.7
blue by 17.3
3476
#14
37.42.7
36.138.7
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Third
6695
#37
11.81.5
16.815.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 9.9
4999
#22
21.82.7
19.121.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned