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Red116
741519.5
699550.5
271029.1
Blue104
940854.1
427627.4
498416.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991046080120140116104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#6
18Coral points28
27Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +13
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
77Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
2L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
116Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.51.8
44.546.3
Auto15.7
Teleop29.5
End5.2
blue by 3.7
9408
#12
54.11.1
49.750.8
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
Second
2710
#16
29.11.8
28.029.8
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
red by 1.7
4276
#29
27.41.1
26.327.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.2
End2.0
Third
7415
#46
19.51.8
17.719.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.0
End1.6
red by 2.8
4984
#39
16.61.1
15.516.6
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed