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Red112
723038.9
852118.3
153847.3
Blue32
285318.4
86711.0
166124.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1235710015011232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+82Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +61
14Coral scored#4
50Coral points13
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
18Processor points6
12Net points0
30Algae points6
80Total teleop19
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
6L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
112Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#10
47.30.6
47.948.5
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
red by 23.3
1661
#23
24.02.6
26.624.0
Auto6.8
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
38.90.6
39.640.2
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
red by 20.5
2853
#31
18.42.6
21.018.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Third
8521
#32
18.30.6
17.718.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End0.9
red by 7.2
867
#45
11.02.6
13.611.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed