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Red151
97347.1
302031.2
842.4
Blue147
473855.7
350120.4
803360.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128148100120140160180200151147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
0Teleop0
+10Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#8
28Coral points38
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
78Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points6
151Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#7
47.10.8
46.847.7
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
blue by 12.9
60.00.1
59.860.0
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
Second
8
#28
42.40.8
42.143.0
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
blue by 13.3
55.70.1
55.555.7
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
Third
3020
#17
31.20.8
30.931.7
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8
red by 10.7
3501
#34
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5