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Red159
803360.0
350120.4
473855.7
Blue64
580524.9
583519.3
271029.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147695010020015964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+83Teleop
+85Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points7
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +55
15Coral scored#7
55Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
89Total teleop34
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +95
10Foul points0
159Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.4
59.459.8
Auto13.6
Teleop38.4
End8.0
red by 30.9
2710
#16
29.10.3
29.829.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
Second
55.70.4
55.155.5
Auto14.7
Teleop35.7
End5.3
red by 30.7
5805
#15
24.90.3
25.625.3
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
Third
3501
#34
20.40.4
19.920.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 1.1
5835
#13
19.30.3
19.919.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5