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Red162
940854.1
300924.0
519958.4
Blue116
97347.1
302031.2
842.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150138100120160180200162116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
8Coral scored#6
40Coral points31
40Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#11
68Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
92Total teleop67
Reef
10L4#4
10L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#23
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points6
162Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.7
55.356.1
Auto13.2
Teleop35.4
End9.8
red by 11.3
973
#7
47.10.3
46.746.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
Second
9408
#12
54.10.8
50.851.6
Auto11.9
Teleop37.7
End4.6
red by 11.8
8
#28
42.40.3
41.941.7
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Third
3009
#30
24.00.8
20.621.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.3
End5.9
blue by 7.2
3020
#17
31.20.3
30.730.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8