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Red116
153847.3
927121.7
244337.2
Blue77
347637.4
248630.2
723038.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211205010015020011677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
16Coral scored#8
58Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
82Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points2
116Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#10
47.30.0
48.548.5
Auto8.6
Teleop37.4
End1.3
red by 8.4
38.91.0
40.239.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.3
End2.4
Second
37.20.0
38.438.5
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End4.5
blue by 0.2
3476
#14
37.41.0
38.737.7
Auto9.3
Teleop22.0
End6.1
Third
9271
#33
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto2.1
Teleop14.1
End5.5
blue by 8.5
2486
#20
30.21.0
31.530.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.7
End8.6