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Red61
580524.9
583519.3
271029.1
Blue114
97347.1
302031.2
842.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801395010015020061114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+43
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +36
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points52
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
46Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
61Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#16
29.10.4
29.529.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End5.8
blue by 18.0
973
#7
47.10.1
46.446.3
Auto12.9
Teleop28.2
End6.0
Second
5805
#15
24.90.4
25.324.9
Auto2.6
Teleop17.9
End4.4
blue by 17.5
8
#28
42.40.1
41.741.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.1
End4.0
Third
5835
#13
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.1
End2.5
blue by 11.9
3020
#17
31.20.1
30.530.3
Auto3.2
Teleop20.2
End7.8